We use these concepts and models to think about challenges and opportunities. Not all are relevant in all contexts, but the consideration forces thinking in detail. With practice, using these concepts, you will become a proficient and creative problem solver. Create solutions, strategics and tactics.
Uncommon Thinking To Deliver Common Sense
Let us know if you have any other models that you use.
The description of the thing is not the thing itself. Even the best maps are imperfect and have limits.
“Know your circle of competence, and stick within it. The size of that circle is not very important; knowing its boundaries, however, is vital.”
Warren Buffett
If you can’t prove something wrong, you can’t prove it right.
Falsifiability helps us sort through which theories are more robust.
Reverse-engineering complicated situations to unleash creative potential.
Consider not only our actions and their immediate consequences, but the subsequent effects of those actions.
A hypothetical situation in which a hypothesis, theory, or principle is laid out for the purpose of thinking through its consequences.
Don’t make the mistake of assuming that having some necessary conditions in place means that you have all of the sufficient conditions in place for the desired event or effect to occur.
Estimate, using math and logic, the likelihood of any specific outcome coming to pass.
Causation – the relationship between cause and effect.
Correlation – a mutual relationship or connection between two or more things.
Confusion between the two often leads to inaccurate assumptions. While causation and correlation can exist at the same time, correlation doesn’t mean causation.
Approaching a situation from the opposite end of the natural starting point.
Entities should not be multiplied beyond necessity. When presented with competing hypotheses about the same prediction, one should select the solution with the fewest assumptions.
We should not attribute to malice that which is more easily explained by stupidity.
Finding a common relational system between two situations or domains to infer new information about the other.
A thought process or method used to generate creative ideas by exploring many possible solutions. Often referred to as “thinking outside the box”.
Adapt and Evolve or Die. Run Hard to Keep Ahead. Competitors are working hard to get ahead. Avoid Extinction.
Subjective – based on or influenced by personal feelings, tastes, or opinions.
Objective – not influenced by personal feelings or opinions in considering and representing facts.
Anecdotal – using experiences and stories to illustrate a point.
Empirical – measured, unbiased, and replicable.
Considering and understanding a scenario from the perspectives of those involved.
Consider what we don’t know, in relation to what we want to achieve.
Challenge current understanding/explanations.
Consider alternatives.
Pros and Cons.
